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Sceptical Scot

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David Eiser

About David Eiser

Head of Fiscal Analysis at Fraser of Allander Institute, University of Strathclyde

Kate’s budget blues

December 7, 2021 by David Eiser Leave a Comment

“A core resource block grant in 2022/23 that is 8% higher than pre-pandemic might sound generous, but to deal with the pandemic’s legacy and underlying public services pressures it is anything but. In this context, Kate Forbes’ third budget may well be her most challenging.”

#SP2021: it’s the economy…

May 2, 2021 by David Eiser Leave a Comment

“The manifestos have fallen short on the level of financial detail behind their plans.” And so has the debate. Parties need to be more transparent about their fiscal options…

Tax policy in Holyrood 5

March 27, 2021 by David Eiser 1 Comment

The author, fiscal expert at FAI, examines the tax changes designed to achieve greater fairness made in the fifth Scottish Parliament – and the scope for reform and greater powers in the next.

Cui bono? Carlaw’s tax cuts

January 18, 2020 by David Eiser Leave a Comment

‘Hence a policy framed as supporting ‘middle earners’ predominantly benefits households at the top of the distribution of household income.’

Scotland’s budget prospects

November 12, 2019 by David Eiser Leave a Comment

The Scottish Budget was due on December 12, #GE2019 day, but will almost certainly be pulled until after the UK Budget is presented early next year on the back of wild spending promises. Even pre-Brexit the Scottish outlook is more than unusually uncertain…

The GERS divide

August 23, 2019 by David Eiser Leave a Comment

‘We can hope that any future constitutional debate considers these long-term issues more seriously, preferably in an open and respectful way – although evidence from the annual GERS furore suggests that this may be a little too much to ask for.’

How will NHS Scotland benefit from English hike?

June 19, 2018 by David Eiser Leave a Comment

If this happens, the NHS Scotland will see average annual real terms increases of around 3.1% during this parliament (and 4.2% annually over the next three years), more than double the implication of its existing plans, which envisage average annual real terms increases on the NHS over the parliament of around 1.4%.

Why do Scottish v UK growth forecasts differ?

January 18, 2018 by David Eiser 1 Comment

‘On balance, the SFC’s GDP forecasts are not out of kilter with the recent past. And the SFC assumes that there will be no ‘bounce-back’ in Scottish growth to recapture weak growth relative to the UK over the past 2.5 years’.

Budget blues or bliss – and for whom?

December 11, 2017 by David Eiser Leave a Comment

‘Under the Scottish Government’s proposed income tax policy, everyone earning under £33k will pay less tax in 2018/19 than they did this year (2017/18). BUT part of this is due to the increase in Personal Allowance, which would have happened anyway, i.e. irrespective of any announcement made by Mr Mackay today.’

Bypassing Barnett

June 27, 2017 by David Eiser 1 Comment

.’.the allocation of an additional £1bn funding to Northern Ireland over two years represents a particularly large financial settlement to have bypassed Barnett. To secure an equivalent funding increase via the Barnett Formula, the UK Government would have had to increase comparable English spending by £30bn; this in turn would have generated Scottish consequentials of £3bn..’

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