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Sceptical Scot

Asking Questions. Seeking Answers.

Joao Sousa

About Joao Sousa

Deputy Director and Senior Knowledge Exchange Fellow at the Fraser of Allander Institute. Previously, he was a Senior Fiscal Analyst at the Office for Budget Responsibility, where he led on analysis of long-term sustainability of the UK's public finances and on the effect of economic developments and fiscal policy on the UK's medium-term outlook.

Why Labour’s “borrowing to invest’ rule is no game-changer

July 6, 2024 by Joao Sousa Leave a Comment

On 19 March the (then Shadow) Chancellor Rachel Reeves delivered the 36th Mais Lecture at Bayes Business School in London. This was an opportunity for Labour to set out its stall on economic policy, and Rachel Reeves used it as a chance to outline her proposed fiscal rules. In doing so, she said:[O]ur fiscal rules differ from the government’s. Their borrowing rule, which … [Read more...] about Why Labour’s “borrowing to invest’ rule is no game-changer

Scottish economy outperforming the UK but for how long?

December 5, 2023 by Joao Sousa Leave a Comment

As with GDP for the UK as a whole, the level of Scottish GDP has been revised up throughout 2021 and 2022 in line with the Office for National Statistics’ (ONS) Blue Book 2023 revisions. This means that the economy recovered more quickly than anticipated from the pandemic, which is welcome news. It is now estimated that the Scottish economy is 0.9% larger than it was prior to … [Read more...] about Scottish economy outperforming the UK but for how long?

How much will an extra Scottish Income Tax band raise?

September 29, 2023 by Joao Sousa 1 Comment

This is a a short briefing from the Fraser of Allander Institute on how much revenue would be raised by some of the proposals for an additional band of Scottish Income Tax between the higher (42p in the pound) and top (47p in the pound) rates. There are two separate proposals in the public domain:One from the Scottish Trades Union Congress (STUC), which would levy a 44p rate … [Read more...] about How much will an extra Scottish Income Tax band raise?

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Welcome to Sceptical Scot, Scotland’s premier non-tribal forum for passionate, informed debate. Sceptical Scot is for all who care about Scotland’s future, regardless of how they vote: for party, independence or union, EU or Brexit. We aim to provide an arena that is both broader and deeper than current online/print offers with a rich diet of well-researched, polemical, thought-provoking writing. Read more » about About Sceptical Scot

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