If Theresa May survives the debate on the Queens Speech \u2013 and John Curtice is certainly making no predictions \u2013 then who knows how long the current government will last?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The UK\u2019s polling guru gives a characteristically pithy summary of what lies ahead: \u201cIf you can tell me if and when the government would lose a vote of no confidence, either because of defections, bye-election losses, falling out with the DUP, ministerial planes stuck in the fog in Brussels airport, or all the rest of it, I\u2019ll tell you when the next election is.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
That’s a virtuoso answer to a straight question at an Edinburgh seminar on 14 June, a week after that sensational exit poll result. In something of a scoop, the David Hume Institute secured Professor Curtice to provide an interpretation of the 2017 general election. The full fascinating speech, recorded and illustrated with slides, is available on the David Hume Institute website<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n This short podcast focuses on perhaps the hottest questions of the night: when will the next election be and who will win it? [Pause for laughter.]<\/p>\n\n\n\n