{"id":15141,"date":"2023-03-27T10:08:32","date_gmt":"2023-03-27T10:08:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/?p=15141"},"modified":"2026-04-18T19:34:30","modified_gmt":"2026-04-18T19:34:30","slug":"scotland-does-not-need-nuclear-energy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/2023\/03\/scotland-does-not-need-nuclear-energy\/","title":{"rendered":"Scotland does not need nuclear energy"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">On BBC Scotland\u2019s evening news show \u201cThe Nine\u201d last week, an energy consultant called Kathryn Porter told viewers that energy-rich Scotland would be in big trouble in terms of energy security without nuclear power.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\"> It is necessary, she said, to provide a baseload supply when the wind doesn\u2019t blow and the sun doesn\u2019t shine.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">Porter appears to be the sole employee of a company called \u201cWatt Logic\u201d. What her credentials are for providing analysis to viewers of BBC Scotland or why she was booked,\u00a0 I don\u2019t know, but it was clear that the presenters of the show didn\u2019t have enough understanding of this admittedly complex subject to question what she was saying.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">On her <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/45358169-1894-40fb-a6b4-f838aefd0946?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">website<\/span><\/a>, Porter references the <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/02cc0bee-f1ac-4b33-8050-b17f21d207f5?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">American Experiment<\/span><\/a> \u2013 a right-wing tank, linked to the <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/d55447b1-35bd-4c0d-8492-7467559d5455?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">Koch Brothers State Policy Network.<\/span><\/a> She also makes various claims about renewable energy being \u201ccostly\u201d &#8211; when it is far cheaper than nuclear. She refers to the market framework for renewables as a subsidy which it is not. Below is an alternative view.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Calibri',sans-serif; color: #404040;\">Does Scotland need a nuclear-power<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Calibri',sans-serif; color: #404040;\"> baseload?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">No. That is an old-fashioned way of thinking about it. A system that is based on renewable power needs a flexible top-up not a baseload. You want to be able to call on other sources when demand is higher than supply.\u00a0 The trouble with nuclear power as a baseload source is that it absorbs capacity and investment that would be better spent on renewables.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">Unlike renewables, the cost of nuclear power is rising. When completed, Hinkley Point C will be one of the <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/8d546abb-7af1-47e8-84f0-bd6686e3bf0e?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">most expensive power station<\/span><\/a>s in the world. The fuel it generates will cost <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/b4526626-8ed6-4256-8934-d9764cbda52f?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">\u00a390 per MWh<\/span><\/a>, at least <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/19d5eb12-0b26-4e42-8a88-8c996de6781f?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">double<\/span><\/a> that of renewables. It also leaves a legacy of toxic waste and it is energy intensive and time-consuming to build.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Calibri',sans-serif; color: #404040;\">Is renewable power intermittent?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">Not really. Out at sea and hundreds of feet up in the air, wind power is <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/fa5dc20a-4729-4d30-83e8-a37fbb285554?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">almost constant<\/span><\/a>, even when it seems as if there is no wind on shore. Modern solar panels work <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/055d15f1-4965-48d3-b430-e5296dfca511?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">reasonably well,<\/span><\/a> even when it is overcast. Tidal power is <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/2fc4f788-f265-4b9c-a2bd-2d618a7f58f5?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">developing fast as a source<\/span><\/a> that is variable on a daily basis but predictable over the long term. All of these methods are <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/11e1e878-3f90-4561-b214-8a0822fb4db2?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">much cheaper and easier<\/span><\/a> to build, run and decommission than nuclear power.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Calibri',sans-serif; color: #404040;\">What would be a good source of top-up power for a renewable-based system?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/bruce5-scaled-e1679911357784.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-15147\" src=\"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/bruce5-scaled-e1679911357784.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"572\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">You might have seen in the news last week that SSE is investing in Coire Glas, which is Scotland\u2019s <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/a3a6836f-ac63-4499-88a2-abf795da8df9?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">largest <\/span><\/a>new hydroelectric facility for 40 years. Pumped hydro is a very effective method of storing electricity. When renewable energy is abundant you push it uphill and when you need to top up the system you can release it. <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/2096e3d6-be70-4515-b133-1f2eca363bf8?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">Norway uses a lot <\/span><\/a>of pumped hydropower for example.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">But Coire Glas can\u2019t go ahead yet because the UK government hasn\u2019t signed off on a market framework &#8211; let\u2019s hope that will happen soon. Private sector businesses are tied by legal obligations that mean they can\u2019t invest without being confident of a return. The UK government through its energy regulator Ofgem c<a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/8bce7bc6-c153-4334-ac46-823b91dc78e7?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">reated a cap-and-floor <\/span><\/a>mechanism to enable private firms to build energy interconnectors between the UK and other European countries &#8211; that has been a key route to securing supplies. That means the government will guarantee a basic price &#8211; and when the price goes above a certain figure, the extra money goes to the government.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">That is the kind of framework that is needed to enable pumped hydro &#8211; but renewable providers in Scotland have been lobbying for this unsuccessfully for 15 years.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Calibri',sans-serif; color: #404040;\">What about batteries?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">Battery power is becoming an increasingly popular way to stabilise renewable-energy systems such as in <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/5f64b8b2-f747-44e9-849d-559e67b483d2?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">Germany<\/span><\/a>. Several battery plants are<a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/8cca7cdc-ff75-4e3a-a4c3-4e8d2d525f5b?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\"> being built<\/span><\/a> in the UK. Ideally, batteries would be used in conjunction with renewables &#8211; when demand is high or supply drops for some reason you draw on the batteries. But in the UK they are effectively in competition with renewables.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">The UK\u2019s national grid &#8211; this country is almost alone in Europe in having <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/e20f33a3-49ac-43f9-88f9-5642c835bfb0?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">privatised <\/span><\/a>this key infrastructure &#8211; has a certain amount of capacity in each area. When a battery plant is brought onstream it is regarded as having absorbed the capacity it can use at maximum output. In fact, if the grid could switch between them &#8211; wind power when it is very windy, and battery power when the wind drops &#8211; that would bring more benefit to the consumer.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">But having them in competition creates two issues, one, the battery plant owner can fill up with electricity when it is cheap and then undercut the renewables to sell it back to the grid at peak times. And two, because the capacity is regarded as being used up,\u00a0 it means new renewable projects in Scotland are being told they can\u2019t connect to the grid for ten or <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/f0702930-9cc7-412b-bfc5-49c3d26fccb1?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">15 years<\/span><\/a> and it will cost them millions.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Calibri',sans-serif; color: #404040;\">Managing demand<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">Another way to make a renewable-based system more resilient is to <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/c8f5ef6e-71ee-4ed4-a73e-34c5dadd1d6a?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">manage demand<\/span><\/a>. At its simplest, you can send price signals to people to change their usage patterns by making electricity cheaper at night or at weekends. But with technological development in automation and AI, it will be possible to match demand and supply in more flexible and responsive ways.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">Machine learning can help <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substack.com\/redirect\/c8f5ef6e-71ee-4ed4-a73e-34c5dadd1d6a?j=eyJ1IjoibHdwdGcifQ.Bq0ei3VkBf6r2TFZrU1pTulkf702SO8YBQz6M46J50M\"><span style=\"color: #404040;\">predict demand<\/span><\/a>. It can aggregate consumers or businesses who choose to opt-in to reducing demand in exchange for bill credits and use that to manage down demand when required. These sorts of technological advances will of course require infrastructure investment, to create a smart grid.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Calibri',sans-serif; color: #404040;\">Nuclear not needed<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 15.0pt 0cm;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; color: #404040;\">Contrary to what you might have heard Kathryn Porter claim on BBC Scotland news, nuclear power is an outdated technology. Scotland can build a strong, resilient energy supply based on renewable energy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>First published b y Jackie Kemp on her <a href=\"httpss:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/httpss%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F442117b6-3cd3-47aa-91b9-9015f9cfa951_8217x5078.jpeg?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email\">Substack blog A letter from Scotland<\/a> with accompanying image by Rob Bruce<\/p>\n<p>Featured image by Mike Boening via<a href=\"httpss:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/memoriesbymike\/8456565270\/in\/photostream\/\"> flickr<\/a> CC-NC-ND-3.0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Contrary to what you might have heard&#8230;, nuclear power is an outdated technology. Scotland can build a strong, resilient energy supply based on renewable energy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":15143,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[319],"tags":[63],"class_list":["post-15141","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-energy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15141","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15141"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15141\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18502,"href":"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15141\/revisions\/18502"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15143"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15141"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15141"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sceptical.scot\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15141"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}