Lastest polls point to an overall British vote to leave the EU – and a resounding Scottish vote to stay in. The referendum could be as early as June 16 or 23. The continuing UK constitutional crisis could step up through the gears this summer.
Will England or Scotland determine the outcome of the UK referendum on our European Union membership? Scotland, together with Northern Ireland and Wales, might keep a reluctant England in. Equally, a strong ‘leave’ vote in England could drag the other nations out of the EU.
It’s commonly assumed that if Scots vote Yes to the EU and England No then #indyref2 will follow on swiftly. But there are other scenarios, including a special and separate relationship post-Brexit between Holyrood and Brussels. Better get planning!
If England says No to the EU and Scotland votes Yes to Europe, so it goes, then #indyref2 and a revitalised “independence in Europe” will come as night follows day. But Scots are as passionately pro-EU as it’s claimed they could swing the referendum – and keep the UK in…
Labour’s new leader Jeremy Corbyn and some union leaders are indicating they might back #Brexit in the pending referendum. But British unions would be worse off outside the EU.
Hamza Yousaf, Minister for Europe and International Development in the Scottish government, tells Kirsty Hughes how the SNP’s influence on a policy area neglected in the election campaign is bound to grow – whatever the outcome.
The referendum campaign devoted much attention to how and whether an independent Scotland would negotiate to stay in, re-join, or even leave, the European Union. But the bigger question by far is what sort of member state an independent Scotland would be? And could it escape the tarnished eurosceptic reputation that the UK has created for itself?